July to September 2005

July’s new Moon brings dark skies for the minor Pegasids and July Phoenicids,
along with the near-ecliptic low activity Sagittarids, which end in mid-July.
The various Aquarid and α-Capricornid sources continue the near-ecliptic
shower complex theme from then until August, after which come the Piscids
throughout September (with their badly moonlit probable maximum around September
19). The two late-July better peaks, from the Southern δ-Aquarids and the
α-Capricornids, have a waning Moon, but should still survive to view for
southern observers especially, along with the minor Piscis Austrinids. Early
August’s new Moon is good news for the minor Southern ι-Aquarid and
Northern δ-Aquarid maxima, and for the major Perseids.
Conditions deteriorate after that, but only for the low-activity κ-Cygnid,
and the very weak Northern ι-Aquarid peaks, on August 17 and perhaps August
19 respectively. Note the Northern ι-Aquarid maximum is poorly resolved. It
may fall between sol = 148°-151°, August 21-24, according to IMO 1988-
95 results, or around sol = 147°, August 19, based on earlier data. Then
both the α- and δ-Aurigid maxima in early September are splendidly
Moon-free. For daylight radio observers, the interest of May-June has waned, but
there remain the visually impossible γ-Leonids (peak towards August 25, 9h
UT, albeit not found in recent radio results), and a tricky visual shower, the
Sextantids. Their maximum is expected on September 27, 9h UT, but may possibly
occur a day earlier. In 1999 a strong return was detected at sol ~ 186°,
equivalent to 2005 September 29, while in 2002, the September 27 peak was not
found, but one around September 29-30 was! There is currently some debate over
whether several minor maxima in early October may also be due to this radio
shower. The waning crescent Moon adds only slightly to the difficulties for
visual observers hoping to catch some Sextantids in late September, tricky
enough with radiant-rise less than an hour before dawn in either hemisphere
anyway.


Pegasids

  
  Active  : July 7-13;  
  Maximum  : July 9 (sol = 107.107°);  
  ZHR   : 3;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 340°, delta = +15°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 70 km/s  
  r   : 3.0;  
  TFC   : alpha = 320°, delta = +10° and alpha = 332°, delta = +33° (beta > 40° N);  
     alpha = 357°, delta = +02° (beta < 40° N).  
  

[image:667]


Figure 5

- Radiant position of the Pegasids.

Monitoring this short-lived minor shower is never easy, as a few cloudy
nights mean its loss for visual observers. The shower is best-seen in the second
half of the night. Consequently, the waxing crescent Moon, setting by the mid to
late evening hours on July 9-10, provides near-perfect conditions for observers
north and south of the equator this year. The maximum ZHR is generally low, and
swift, faint meteors can be expected, favouring telescopic observing.


July Phoenicids

  
  Active  : July 10-16;  
  Maximum  : July 13 (sol = 111°);  
  ZHR   : variable 3-10;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 032°, delta = -48°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 47 km/s  
  r   : 3.0;  
  TFC   : alpha = 041°, delta = -39° and alpha = 066°, delta = -62° (beta < 10° N).  
  

This minor shower can be seen from the southern hemisphere, from where its
radiant attains a reasonable elevation above the horizon after midnight. This is
a useful year to watch it, since the waxing Moon sets between local midnight and
1h for typical southerly sites on July 13. Visual activity can be quite
variable, and indeed it appears to be a richer radio meteor source (possibly
also telescopically; more results are needed). The peak has not been well-observed
for some considerable time. Recent years have brought maximum ZHRs of under 4,
when the winter weather has allowed any coverage at all. More data would be
very welcome!

[image:58]


Figure 6

- Radiant position of the July Phoenicids.


Piscis Austrinids and Aquarid/Capricornid Complex


Piscis Austrinids

  
  Active  : July 15-August 10;  
  Maximum  : July 28 (sol = 125°);  
  ZHR   : 5;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 341°, delta = -30°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 35 km/s  
  r   : 3.2;  
  TFC   : alpha = 255° to 000°, delta = 00° to +15°, choose pairs separated by about 30° in α (beta < 30°N).  
  


Southern δ-Aquarids

  
  Active  : July 12-August 19;  
  Maximum  : July 28 (sol = 125°);  
  ZHR   : 20;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 339°, delta = -16°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 41 km/s  
  r   : 3.2;  
  TFC   : alpha = 255° to 000°, delta = 00° to +15°, choose pairs separated by about 30° in α (beta < 40°N).  
  


α-Capricornids

  
  Active  : July 3-August 15;  
  Maximum  : July 30 (sol = 127°);  
  ZHR   : 4;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 307°, delta = -10°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 23 km/s  
  r   : 2.5;  
  TFC   : alpha = 255° to 000°, delta = 00° to +15°, choose pairs separated by about 30° in α (beta < 40°N);  
  PFC   : alpha = 300°, delta = +10° (beta > 45° N), alpha = 320°, delta = -05° (β from 0° to 45° N),  
     alpha = 300°, delta = -25° (beta < 0°).  
  


Southern ι-Aquarids

  
  Active  : July 25-August 15;  
  Maximum  : August 4 (sol = 132°);  
  ZHR   : 2;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 334°, delta = -15°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 34 km/s  
  r   : 2.9;  
  TFC   : alpha = 255° to 000°, delta = 00° to +15°, choose pairs separated by about 30° in α (beta < 30°N).  
  


Northern δ-Aquarids

  
  Active  : July 15-August 25;  
  Maximum  : August 8 (sol = 136°);  
  ZHR   : 4;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 335°, delta = -05°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 42 km/s  
  r   : 3.4;  
  TFC   : alpha = 255° to 000°, delta = 00° to +15°, choose pairs separated by about 30° in α (beta < 30°N).  
  

[image:668]


Figure 7

- Radiant position of the Capricornids, Northern and Southern δ-Aquarids.

[image:669]


Figure 8

- Radiant position of the Northern and Southern ι-Aquarids and the Piscis Austrinids.

The Aquarids and Piscis Austrinids are all streams rich in faint meteors,
making them well-suited to telescopic work, although enough brighter members
exist to make visual and photographic observations worth the effort too,
primarily from more southerly sites. Radio work can be used to pick up the
Southern δ-Aquarids especially, as the most active of these showers. The
α-Capricornids are noted for their bright - sometimes fireball-class -
events, which, combined with their low apparent velocity, can make some of these
objects among the most impressive and attractive an observer could wish for. A
minor enhancement of α-Capricornid ZHRs to ~10 was noted in 1995 by
European IMO observers, although the Southern δ-Aquarids were the only one
of these streams previously suspected of occasional variability.

Such a concentration of radiants in a small area of sky means that
familiarity with where all the radiants are is essential for accurate shower
association. Visual watchers in particular should plot any potential stream
members seen in this region of sky rather than trying to make shower
associations in the field. The only exception is when the Southern δ-
Aquarids are near their peak, as from southern hemisphere sites in particular,
rates may become too high for accurate plotting.

In 2005, the early-rising last quarter to waning crescent Moon creates
especial problems for northern observers hoping to cover the late July maxima,
although southern hemisphere watchers enjoy a significantly later moonrise for
the July 28 and 30 peaks. The very weak Southern ι-Aquarids are ideally-
located near new Moon, and the Northern δ-Aquarids are very favourable
too, leaving only the Northern ι-Aquarids to fend off full Moon at their
ill-defined maximum. All these radiants are above the horizon for much of the
night.


Perseids

  
  Active  : July 17-August 24;  
  Maximum  : August 12, 17h-19h30m UT (sol = 140.140°-140dg1), but see text;  
  ZHR   : 100;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 046°, delta = +58°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 59 km/s  
  r   : 2.6;  
  TFC   : alpha = 019°, delta = +38° and alpha = 348°, delta = +74° before 2h local time;  
     alpha = 043°, delta = +38° and alpha = 073°, delta = +66° after 2h local time (beta > 20° N);  
  PFC   : alpha = 300°, delta = +40°, alpha = 000°, delta = +20° or alpha = 240°, delta = +70° (beta > 20° N).  
  

The Perseids were one of the most exciting and dynamic meteor showers during
the 1990s, with outbursts at a new primary maximum producing EZHRs of 400+ in
1991 and 1992. Rates from this peak decreased to ~ 100-120 by the late 1990s,
and in 2000, it first failed to appear. This was not unexpected, as the
outbursts and the primary maximum (which was not noticed before 1988), were
associated with the perihelion passage of the Perseids' parent comet 109P/Swift-
Tuttle in 1992. The comet's orbital period is about 130 years, so it is now
receding back into the outer Solar System, and theory predicts that such
outburst rates should dwindle as the comet to Earth distance increases.

An average annual shift of +0.05° in sol had been deduced from 1991-99
data, and allowing for this could give a possible primary peak time around
18h30m UT on August 12 (sol = 140dg06), if so within the most probable maximum
time, that of the "traditional" peak always previously found, given above.
Another feature, seen only in IMO data from 1997-99, was a tertiary peak at sol
= 140dg4, the repeat time for which would be 3h UT on August 13. Some
researchers commented several years ago that 2004-06 might see a return of the
primary peak. No specific predictions for 2005 had been issued before this
Shower Calendar was prepared, but any prepared subsequently should feature in
the IMO's journal WGN or on the IMO-News e-mailing list, and observers need to be alert to this
possibility.

[image:61]


Figure 9

- Radiant position of the Perseids.

Whatever happens, and whenever the peak or peaks fall around August 12, the
waxing crescent Moon, just before first quarter, will set for mid-northern
latitudes about the time the radiant is becoming sensibly observable, between
22h-23h local time. The radiant gains altitude throughout the night for these
more favourable locations. The August 12 maxima timings would be best-viewed
from a zone running from the Near East to east Asia, including Japan, although
the later the peak occurs, the less favourable places east in this region would
be. The August 13 timing would be visible from the extreme west of both Europe
and North Africa westwards to the eastern seaboard of North America and northern
South America, over the North Atlantic Ocean.

Visual and photographic observers should need little encouragement to cover
this stream, but telescopic and video watching near the main peak would be
valuable in confirming or clarifying the possibly multiple nature of the Perseid
radiant, something not detectable visually. Recent video results have shown a
very simple, single radiant structure certainly. Radio data would naturally
enable early confirmation, or detection, of perhaps otherwise unobserved maxima,
assuming more than one takes place, if the timings or weather conditions prove
unsuitable for land-based sites. The only negative aspect to the shower is the
impossibility of covering it from the bulk of the southern hemisphere.

α- and δ-Aurigids


α-Aurigids

  
  Active  : August 25-September 8;  
  Maximum  : September 1, 0h UT (sol= 158.158°);  
  ZHR   : 7;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 84°, delta = +42°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 66 km/s  
  r   : 2.6;  
  TFC   : alpha = 052°, delta = +60°; alpha = 043°, delta = +39° and  
     alpha = 023°, delta = +41° (beta > 10° S).  
  


δ-Aurigids

  
  Active  : September 5-October 10;  
  Maximum  : September 9 (sol = 166.166°);  
  ZHR   : 5;  
  Radiant  : alpha = 060°, delta = +47°; Radiant drift: see Table 6;  
  V   : 64 km/s  
  r   : 2.9;  
  TFC   : alpha = 052°, delta = +60°; alpha = 043°, delta = +39° and  
     alpha = 023°, delta = +41° (beta > 10° S).  
  

[image:670]


Figure 10

- Radiant position of the α- and δ-Aurigids.

Both these essentially northern hemisphere showers are excellently placed to
catch the best dark skies near September's new Moon this year, so every
opportunity should be taken to secure more observations on them. They appear to
be part of a series of poorly observed showers with radiants in Aries, Perseus,
Cassiopeia and Auriga, active from late August into October. British and Italian
observers independently reported a possible new radiant in Aries during late
August 1997 for example. Both Aurigid sources have recently been investigated by
analysts Audrius Dubietis and Rainer Arlt, using IMO-standard data since 1986,
and their known parameters updated accordingly.

The α-Aurigids are the more active, with short unexpected bursts
having given EZHRs of ~ 30-40 in 1935, 1986 and 1994, although they have not
been monitored regularly until very recently, so other outbursts may have been
missed. Only three watchers in total covered the 1986 and 1994 outbursts, for
instance!

The δ-Aurigids probably represent a combination of two separate, but
possibly related, minor sources, the September Perseids and δ-Aurigids,
whose activities and radiants effectively overlap one another. The showers are
probably not resolvable by visual watchers, who are advised to apply the
parameters listed above, although these primarily derive from the "September
Perseid" phase. The "δ-Aurigid" phase seems to give a weak maximum around
sol = 181° (2005 September 23-24; rm ZHR ~ 3, r= 2.5).

Radiants for both main showers reach useful elevations after 23h-0h local
time, thus the new to waxing crescent Moon creates ideal lunar circumstances,
setting at worst by early to mid-evening around September 9. Conditions will be
much less favourable for the possible September 23-24 peak however, with a
waning gibbous Moon. Telescopic data to examine all the radiants in this region
of sky - and possibly observe the telescopic β-Cassiopeids simultaneously -
would be especially valuable, but photographs, video records and visual plotting
would be welcomed too.