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2022 EB5 : 5th predicted Earth impact!
19h 24min UT on March 11, 2022. A small asteroidal trail is detected by Krisztián Sárneczky, from Piszkéstető Observatory (Hungaria). Less than 2 hours later, 2022 EB5 impacted the Earth atmosphere South-West of Jan Mayen island. 5th time that a small asteroid is discovered before it enters the Earth atmosphere!
2022 EB5: 5th predicted Earth impactor
2008 TC3, 2014 AA, 2018 LA and 2019 MO. These asteroids have in common the fact that they are Earth impactors discovered before they actually entered the Earth atmopshere. Since March 11, 2022, another one completed the list: 2022 EB5! This small Apollo asteroid, estimated to be below 2-meter diameter, was discovered less than two hours before by Krisztián Sárneczky, from Piszkéstető Observatory (Hungaria).
Asteroid | 2008 TC3 | 2014 AA | 2018 LA | 2019 MO | 2022 EB5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Category | Apollo | Apollo | Apollo | Apollo/Alinda | Apollo |
Dimensions | ~ 4 m | ~ 3 m | ~ 3 m | ~ 5 m | ~ 2 m |
Mass | ~ 80 tons | ~ 40 tons | ~ 40 tons | ~ 200 tons | |
Abs. Mag. | 30.4 | 30.9 | 30.6 | 29.3 | 32.2 |
Entry speed | 12.8 km/s | 11.7 km/s | 17 km/s | 16.1 km/s | 18 km/s |
Energy | 0.9-2.1 kt TNT | 0.5-1 kt TNT | ~ 0.4 kt TNT | 6 kt TNT | ~ 2 kt TNT |
Discovery date | Oct. 6, 2008, 06h 39min UT | Jan. 1, 2014, 06h 18min UT | Jun. 2, 2018, 08h 22min UT | Jun. 22, 2019, 07h 254min TU | Mar. 11, 2022, 19h 24min UT |
Impact date | Oct. 7, 2008, 02h 46min UT | Jan. 2, 2014, ~03h 06min UT | Jun. 2, 2018, 16h 44min UT | Jun. 22, 2019, 21h 25min TU | Mar. 11, 2022, 21h 22min UT |
Impact location | Nubian desert, Sudan | Atlantic Ocean, 3 000 km from Caracas, Venezuela | Bostwana-South Africa border | South coast of Puerto Rico, Carribean Sea | South-West of Jan Mayen island |
Meteorites recovery | Almahata Sitta: 600 ureilites fragments (10.5 kg) | - | Motopi Pan: 24 HED fragments, originating Vesta | - | - |
Alert was thus sent to observers rougly one hour after the discovery, encouraging European observers to monitor the small object before it would enter our planet atmopshere. Additionnal data (Figure 1) allowed a more accurate impact position (South of Jan Mayen island) and time predictions (around 21h 23min UT) (Figure 2).
Impact! When 2022 EB5 struck the Earth north of Iceland this morning, it became the 5th asteroid to be discovered prior to impacting Earth. pic.twitter.com/kYsQ40uuFq
— Tony Dunn (@tony873004) March 12, 2022

Figure 1- 2022 EB5 captured by Paolo Bacci and Martina Maestripieri from at 21h 10min UT, which is 12 minutes before it entered the atmosphere, while it was only 12 300 km form Earth and its apparent speed close to 65"/sec. Credit: P. Bacci, M. Maestripieri

Figure 2- Impact position prediction, considering discovery observations (K88 observatory) with additional data from Slovakia (G02 observatory). Credit: Bill Gray
Asteroid entry recorded by visual witnesses and infrasound stations
Near the predicted impact time, some observers from Northern Iceland (close to Akureyri) reported having observed a bright flash above the horizon.
I did not, but facebook friends north east of Husavik were asking about a blue-ish explotion/flash in the sky that lasted for about two seconds. The time of the questions fits. pic.twitter.com/6c2n7V4uaK — Sindri Geir 🇺🇦🇵🇸 (@sindrigeir) March 12, 2022
Minutes later, around 22h 15min Ut and 23h 40min UT, infrasonic signals originating from this asteroid atmospheric respectively entry arrived at I18DK (Greenland, Figure 3) and I37NO (Norway, Figure 4 & 5) infrasound stations.
Infrasound detection from 2022 EB5 impact off the coast of Iceland at I37NO between 2223-2227 UTC. Below is I18DK infrasound data in Greenland. Arrival near 2340 UTC. From this data yield is approximately 2-3 kT TNT. At 15 km/s, this is roughly 3-4 m diameter. @WesternU #2002EB5 pic.twitter.com/FYI9jn7zCb — Peter Brown (@pgbrown) March 12, 2022
According to Peter Brown (University of Western Ontario), those signals allow to estimate the total energy of the event around 2 kt TNT. Which helps in calculating the 2-m diameter estimated asteroid entry speed was close to 18 km/s.

Figure 3- Infrasonic signals recorded at I18DK infrasound station (Greenland). Couterwind and potentially thermospheric propagation can explain the low celerity and amplitudes of the signals. Credit: Peter Brown

Figure 4- Infrasonic signals recorded at I37NO infrasound station (Norway). Stratospheric propagation makes the signal stronger than the one recorded at I18DK. Credit: Peter Brown

Figure 5- Diagram of infrasonic signals recorded at I37NO infrasound station (Norway). Signals associated to 2022 EB5 atmospheric entry are observed around 23h 40min UT. Credit: Peter Brown
Sources
Peter Brown (pers. comm.)