Meteor Activity Outlook for July 11-17, 2009

After several months of low activity the meteor rates for both hemispheres see a marked increase in July. In the northern hemisphere the change is not noticeable until mid-month when several southern radiants, the Perseids, and sporadic rates all increase in activity. Southern rates are good all month long.

During this period the waning moon still compromises observing attempts, especially during the morning hours. Conditions improve with each passing night as the moon rises later and later. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near three as seen from the northern hemisphere and five for those situated south of the equator. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near ten for those located in the mid-northern hemisphere (45 N) and fourteen for those viewing from the mid-southern hemisphere (45 S). Locations between these two extremes would see activity between the listed figures. These rates assume that you are watching from rural areas away from all sources of light pollution. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and experience in watching meteor activity. Morning rates are reduced due to moonlight.

The radiant positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning July 11/12. These positions do not change greatly day to day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period. Most star atlases (available at science stores and planetariums) will provide maps with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where these positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program is also useful in showing the sky at any time of night on any date of the year. Activity from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky, either due north or south along the meridian, depending on your latitude. It must be remembered that meteor activity is rarely seen at the radiant position. Rather they shoot outwards from the radiant so it is best to center your field of view so that the radiant lies at the edge and not the center. Viewing there will allow you to easily trace the path of each meteor back to the radiant (if it is a shower member) or in another direction if it is a sporadic. Meteor activity is not seen from radiants that are located below the horizon. The positions below are listed in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The positions listed first are located further west therefore are accessible earlier in the night while those listed further down the list rise later in the night.

The following showers are expected to be active this week:

The Alpha Capricornids (CAP) are active from a wide radiant located at 19:24 (291) -14. This position lies in northeastern Sagittarius, a dozen degrees west of the third magnitude double star Alpha Capricornii. The radiant is best placed near 0100 local daylight time (LDT), when it lies on the meridian and is highest in the sky. Current rates would be less than one per hour, no matter your location. Don't confuse these meteors with the more numerous antihelion meteors, which have a radiant just to the east. Both radiants need to be in your field of view to properly sort these meteors. With an entry velocity of 24 km/sec., most activity from this radiant would be slow, a bit slower than the antihelions. This radiant is well seen except for far northern latitudes where it remains twilight all night long and the radiant does not rise as high into their sky.

The large Antihelion (ANT) radiant is now centered at 20:08 (302) -19. This area of the sky lies in western Capricornus, four degrees southwest of the third magnitude star Beta Capricornii. Actually any meteor from western Capricornus, southwestern Aquila, as well as eastern Sagittarius could be a candidate for this shower. This radiant is best placed near 0200 LDT when it lies on the meridian and is highest in the sky. Rates at this time should be near two for northern observers and three for observers south of the equator. With an entry velocity of 30 km/sec., the average Antihelion meteor would be of medium-slow speed.

Studies by Sirko Molau of the IMO's video data has revealed an active radiant located in western Aquarius this time of year. The radiant lies at 21:04 (316) -04, which is located six degrees southwest of the third magnitude star Sadalsuud (Beta Aquarii). This radiant is best placed near 0300 LDT when it lies on the meridian and is highest in the sky. Rates are most likely less than one per hour regardless of your location. Maximum activity occurred on July 6th. With an entry velocity of 40 km/sec., the average North June Aquilid (NZC) meteor would be of medium speed, but noticeably more swift than the nearby Antihelion radiant.

The first Perseids (PER) begin to appear next week from a radiant located at 00:04 (001) +49. This position lies in southern Cassiopeia, seven degrees southwest of the second magnitude star Shedar (Alpha Cassiopeiae). The radiant is best placed during the last hour before the start of morning twilight when it lies highest in a dark sky. Current rates would be less than one per hour, no matter your location. Activity from this source is not visible south of 40 degrees south latitude. With an entry velocity of 59 km/sec., most activity from this radiant would be swift.

As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45N) one would expect to see approximately six Sporadic meteors per hour during the last hour before dawn as seen from rural observing sites. Evening rates would be near two per hour. As seen from the mid-southern hemisphere (45S), morning rates would be near ten per hour as seen from rural observing sites and four per hour during the evening hours. Locations between these two extremes would see activity between the listed figures. Morning rates are reduced by moonlight.

The table below presents a summary of the expected activity this week. Rates and positions are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning but may be used all week.