Activity Outlook

Weekly Meteor Activity Outlook articles by Bob Lunsford. Bob gives outlooks to upcoming meteor activity about once a week. He features showers from the working list of meteor showers as well as suspected radiants. Please refer only to the radiants of the Working list of visual meteor showers in observing reports.

Meteor Activity Outlook for March 19-25, 2011

During this period the moon reaches its full phase on Saturday March 19th. At that time the moon lies opposite the sun and will remain in the sky the entire night. Meteor observations during this period are difficult at best, especially with the normal low rates that occur this time of year. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near one as seen from the northern hemisphere and two as seen from the southern hemisphere. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near four from the northern hemisphere and six as seen from south of the equator.

Meteor Activity Outlook for March 12-18, 2011

During this period the moon reaches its first quarter phase on Saturday March 12. At this time the half illuminated moon will be in the sky from dusk through midnight local standard time (0100 local daylight saving time). As the week progresses the waxing moon will become gibbous shaped and will set later and later, remaining in the sky nearly the entire night toward the end of the week. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near two as seen from the northern hemisphere and three as seen from the southern hemisphere.

Meteor Activity Outlook for March 5-11, 2011

During this period the moon waxes from a thin crescent to nearly one-half illuminated. During this entire period the moon will only be in the evening sky and will not interfere with the more active morning hours. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near three as seen from the northern hemisphere and four as seen from the southern hemisphere. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near ten from the northern hemisphere and fourteen as seen from south of the equator.

Meteor Activity Outlook for February 26-March 4, 2011

March is the slowest month for meteor activity. No major annual showers are active and only two very weak minor showers produce activity this month. The sporadic rates continue a slow decline as seen from the mid-northern latitudes and mid-southern rates reach a first half minimum. There is not much to look forward to this month expect for the evening fireballs that seem to peak this time of year from the northern hemisphere.

Meteor Activity Outlook for February 19-25, 2011

During this period the moon reaches its last quarter phase on Thursday February 24th. At that time the moon lies ninety degrees west of the sun and will rise near midnight local standard time from most locations. This weekend the waning gibbous moon will rise during the late evening hours and will ruin observing conditions during the dark morning hours. Toward the middle of the week those with transparent skies may be able the follow the feeble meteor activity by keeping the bright moon out of your field of view. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near two as seen from the northern hemisphere and three as seen from the southern hemisphere.

Meteor Activity Outlook for February 5-11, 2011

During this period the moon reaches its first quarter phase on Thursday February 11th. At that time the moon lies ninety degrees east of the sun and is in the night sky from sunset to near midnight. This weekend the waxing crescent moon will set during the early evening hours and will not cause any problems with observing. The estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near three as seen from the northern hemisphere and four as seen from the southern hemisphere. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near thirteen from the northern hemisphere and twenty as seen from south of the equator.