Activity Outlook

Weekly Meteor Activity Outlook articles by Bob Lunsford. Bob gives outlooks to upcoming meteor activity about once a week. He features showers from the working list of meteor showers as well as suspected radiants. Please refer only to the radiants of the Working list of visual meteor showers in observing reports.

Meteor Activity Outlook for April 25-May 1, 2015

During this period the moon reaches its first quarter phase on Saturday April 25th. At this time the moon will be located 90 degrees east of the sun and will set near 0100 local daylight saving time (LDT). As the week progresses the moon will interfere more and more with meteor observing as it waxes and sets later each morning. By the end of the week the moon will be in the sky most of the night making meteor viewing difficult as the glare from the nearly full moon obscures all but the brightest meteors. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 2 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 3 for observers viewing from the southern tropics (latitude 25 S.).

Meteor Activity Outlook for April 18-24, 2015

During this period the moon reaches its new phase on Saturday April 18th. At this time the moon will be located near the sun and will not be visible at night. Next week the waxing crescent moon will enter the evening sky but it will set prior to midnight and will not interfere with viewing during the more active morning hours. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 4 for observers viewing from the southern tropics (latitude 25 S.). For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 10 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 13 for observers viewing from the southern tropics.

Meteor Activity Outlook for April 11-17, 2015

During this period the moon reaches its last quarter phase on Sunday April 12th. At this time the moon will be located 90 degrees west of the sun and will rise near 0200 local daylight time (LDT). Conditions are good up until moonrise but once the moon enters the sky this weekend fainter meteors will be lost to the moon's glare. This situation improves with each passing night as the moon's phase wanes and the moon rises later in the morning. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 4 for observers viewing from the southern tropics (latitude 25 S.).

Meteor Activity Outlook for April 4-10, 2015

During this period the moon reaches its full phase on Saturday April 4th. At this time the moon will be in the sky all night long and will spoil attempts to view meteor activity. As the week progresses the moon's phase will wane but it will still rise before midnight and will spoil viewing for the more active morning hours. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 1 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 3 for observers viewing from the southern tropics (latitude 25 S.). For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 4 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 6 for observers viewing from the southern tropics.

Meteor Activity Outlook for March 21-27, 2015

During this period the moon will reach its first quarter phase on Thursday March 26th. At this time the moon is located 90 degrees east of the sun and sets near 0100 local daylight saving time (LDT). This weekend the waxing crescent moon will enter the evening sky but will set early during the evening hours allowing unhampered views of the night sky the remainder of the night. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 4 for observers viewing from the southern tropics (latitude 25 S.). For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 7 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 10 for observers viewing from the southern tropics.

Meteor Activity Outlook for March 14-20, 2015

During this period the moon will reach its new phase on Friday March 20th. At this time the moon is located near the sun and is invisible at night. This weekend the waning crescent moon will rise during the early morning hours and will interfere with meteor observing if not kept out of ones field of view. Viewing conditions improve with each passing morning as the moon's phase wanes and it rises later each morning. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 for observers situated at mid-northern latitudes and 4 for observers viewing from the southern tropics (latitude 25 S.).