Activity Outlook

Weekly Meteor Activity Outlook articles by Bob Lunsford. Bob gives outlooks to upcoming meteor activity about once a week. He features showers from the working list of meteor showers as well as suspected radiants. Please refer only to the radiants of the Working list of visual meteor showers in observing reports.

Meteor Activity Outlook for September 20-26, 2014

During this period the moon reaches its new phase on Tuesday September 23rd. At this time the moon is located near the sun and is not visible at night. This weekend the waning crescent moon will rise just before the start of morning twilight and will be too thin to bother meteor observers. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 4 as seen from the northern hemisphere and 3 as seen from southern tropical latitudes. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 16 for observers located in mid-northern latitudes and 10 for south tropical observers.

Meteor Activity Outlook for September 13-19, 2014

During this period the moon reaches its last quarter phase on Tuesday September 16th. At this time the moon is located 90 degrees west of the sun and rises near midnight local daylight time (LDT) for observers located in mid-northern latitudes. As the week progresses the moon will continue to wane and will be less of a problem for meteor observers. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 4 as seen from the northern hemisphere and 3 as seen from southern tropical latitudes. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 14 for observers located in mid-northern latitudes and 9 for south tropical observers.

Meteor Activity Outlook for September 6-12, 2014

During this period the moon reaches its full phase on Monday September 8th. At this time the moon is located opposite the sun and is present in the sky all night long. This will be the worst week of the month to try and view meteor activity as the bright moonlight will obscure all but the brightest meteors. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 as seen from the northern hemisphere and 1 as seen from southern tropical latitudes. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 10 for observers located in mid-northern latitudes and 4 for south tropical observers.

Meteor Activity Outlook for August 30-September 5, 2014

September offers longer nights in the northern hemisphere that tend to be less hazy than those experienced in mid-summer. In the sky, no major showers are visible from either hemisphere but the northern hemisphere enjoys the advantage of higher sporadic rates. Most of the shower activity this month is produced from the Perseus-Aurigid complex active this time of year. These showers rarely produce more than five meteors per hour but still manage to produce most of the shower activity seen this month. Unfortunately the Perseus-Aurigid complex lies too low in the northern sky for southern hemisphere observers to view very well.

Meteor Activity Outlook for August 23-29, 2014

During this period the moon reaches its new phase on Monday August 25th. At this time the moon is located near the sun and is invisible at night. Late in this period the thin waxing crescent moon will enter the evening sky but will not interfere with meteor observing as it will set soon after the end of evening twilight. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 5 as seen from the northern hemisphere and 3 as seen from southern tropical latitudes. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 20 for observers located in mid-northern latitudes and 12 for south tropical observers.

Meteor Activity Outlook for August 16-22, 2014

During this period the moon reaches its last quarter phase on Sunday August 17th. At this time the moon is located 90 degrees west of the sun and will rise between midnight and 0100 local daylight time as seen from mid-northern locations. Later this week the waning crescent moon will rise later in the morning increasing the window of opportunity to view under totally dark skies. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 5 as seen from the northern hemisphere and 3 as seen from southern tropical latitudes. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 25 for observers located in mid-northern latitudes and 15 for south tropical observers.