Activity Outlook

Weekly Meteor Activity Outlook articles by Bob Lunsford. Bob gives outlooks to upcoming meteor activity about once a week. He features showers from the working list of meteor showers as well as suspected radiants. Please refer only to the radiants of the Working list of visual meteor showers in observing reports.

Meteor Activity Outlook for 21-27 May 2016

  Radiant Positions at 10pm LDT

Radiant Positions at 22:00 Local Summer Time

Radiant Positions at 1am Local Daylight Saving Time

Radiant Positions at 1:00 Local Summer Time

Meteor Activity Outlook for 14-20 May 2016

During this period the moon waxes from half illuminated to nearly full by the end of the period. This weekend the waxing gibbous moon will set during the early morning hours for locations in the mid-northern latitudes. This will allow a few hours of observations under dark skies between moonset and the start of morning twilight. This window of opportunity to view under dark conditions shrinks with each passing night until late in the week when there is interfering moonlight all night long. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 2 for observers located in the northern hemisphere and 3 for observers located south of the equator.

Meteor Activity Outlook for May 7-13, 2016

During this period the moon reaches its first quarter phase on Friday May 13th. On that date the moon will be located 90 degrees east of the sun and will set near 0200 local daylight saving time (LDST) for most locations in the mid-northern latitudes. This weekend the slender waxing crescent moon will pose no problems for meteor observers. It will set during the late evening hours allowing the more active morning hours to be free of interfering moonlight. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 for observers located in the northern hemisphere and 4 for observers located south of the equator.

Meteor Activity Outlook for 30 April-6 May 2016

During this period the moon reaches its last quarter phase on Saturday April 30th. On that date the moon will be located 90 degrees west of the sun and will rise near 0200 local summer time (LST) for most locations in the mid-northern latitudes. As the week progresses the moon's phase will wane and it will rise later and later with each passing night. Late in the week it will be located too close to the sun to cause any interference at night. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 3 for observers located in the northern hemisphere and 4 for observers located south of the equator.

Meteor Activity Outlook for 23-29 April 2016

During this period the moon wanes from its full phase to nearly one-half illuminated. This is the worst time of the month to try and view meteor activity as the bright moonlight will obscure all but the brightest meteors. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 2 for observers located in the northern hemisphere and 3 for observers located south of the equator. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 7 as seen from mid-northern latitudes (45N) and 9 as seen from tropical southern locations (25S). Rates are reduced during this period due to moonlight.

Meteor Activity Outlook for April 16-22, 2016

During this period the moon reaches its full phase on Friday April 22nd. On that date the moon will be located opposite the sun and will remain above the horizon all night long. This weekend the waxing gibbous moon will set during the early morning hours and will allow a few hours of viewing under dark skies between moonset and the start of morning twilight. The estimated total hourly meteor rates for evening observers this week is near 2 for observers located in the northern hemisphere and 3 for observers located south of the equator. For morning observers the estimated total hourly rates should be near 9 as seen from mid-northern latitudes (45N) and 11 as seen from tropical southern locations (25S).